New — Self-Calibrating Predictions Live

TOUR CONTROLTOUR CONTROL

Tour Pacing Intelligence
Live, Learning, Defensible

Predict every market’s sell-through. Tier them by risk. Allocate media budget where it actually moves the needle. The model recalibrates as shows play — so the tour gets sharper, not staler.

Explore

Live Dashboard

See Every Market at a Glance

UK & Europe
Artist Name — World Tour
Apr 13 — May 5, 2026
9 Sold Out2 On Pace3 Critical
Markets
14
Capacity
45,000
Tickets Sold
32,400
Predicted Gap
4,200
Budget @ $3
$12,600
London
O2 Academy Brixton
96%
168 gap
On Pace
Paris
L'Olympia
88%
264 gap
On Pace
Berlin
Astra Kulturhaus
72%
420 gap
Needs Push
Madrid
Sala La Riviera
41%
1180 gap
Critical

01 — Live Recalc

Drop in new data.
See the impact in seconds.

The flight plan dashboard ships with a built-in upload widget. Drag in any updated wrap — daily, weekly, end-of-week — and the model recalculates predictions, re-tiers markets, and surfaces a diff summary before anything is committed. Click apply, and the new state persists for the whole team.

  • Drag-and-drop any promoter format. Parsing is automatic.
  • See tier changes, biggest movers, and budget deltas before you apply.
  • Every upload is versioned in an audit trail you can scroll back through.
Drop in updated wrap
.xlsx · .csv · any promoter format
Diff Preview
Madrid
+412 tix
CriticalAt Risk
Berlin
+286 tix
Needs PushOn Pace
Lisbon
−4d velocity
On PaceNeeds Push
3 markets changed · budget −$1,840

02 — Prediction Engine

Forecast every market’s
final sell-through.

A blended velocity-and-multiplier model projects where each market lands on show day. Recent sales velocity is weighted heavier than long-term average. Days-out multipliers from your benchmark leg correct for the show-week surge that flat-line projections always miss. Every prediction comes back with a confidence score.

  • Days-out pacing curves built from D-90 through D-0.
  • Confidence scoring — high / medium / low per market.
  • Velocity gap calculation flags shows where the math just doesn’t close.
Pacing Curve · Madrid
Final:96%
D-90D-60D-30D-14D-00%50%100%
Velocity
94%
extrapolation
Multiplier
97%
benchmark
Blended
96%
final

03 — Media Allocation

Defensible spend,
market by market.

Every market gets a budget recommendation tied to its predicted gap to sellout. Compare two cost-per-ticket scenarios side by side — typically $3 and $5 — and see exactly where the money should land. Rolled-up totals at the top, surgical detail per row, no spreadsheet wrestling required.

  • Two CPT rates compared per market in one view.
  • Tiered recommendations — Green markets get insurance spend, Red markets get the hammer.
  • Velocity-gap check — if the math doesn’t close, it surfaces a downsize conversation.
Budget Matrix
@ $3@ $5
Madrid
Critical
1180 gap
$3,540$5,900
Lisbon
At Risk
720 gap
$2,160$3,600
Berlin
Push
420 gap
$1,260$2,100
Paris
On Pace
264 gap
$792$1,320
London
Sold Out
0 gap
$0$0
Tour Total
$7,752$12,920

04 — Self-Calibration

The model gets smarter
with every show.

Once three or more shows on a leg have played, TOUR CONTROL uses them as in-tour benchmarks to recalibrate predictions for everything still on sale. Played shows share audience, pricing, and promoter patterns with upcoming ones — so the longer the tour runs, the tighter the forecast gets. Mean absolute error and bias are tracked across every prediction snapshot.

  • In-tour calibration kicks in automatically once enough shows play.
  • MAE and bias tracked per snapshot — provenance trail you can audit.
  • Tier thresholds and surge multipliers tune themselves to your tour’s shape.
Accuracy Improvement
Baseline MAE
4.32%
Pre-calibration
Calibrated MAE
3.02%
After 5 played shows
Predicted vs Actual — Last 5 Shows
Birmingham
92·94
Manchester
88·89
Glasgow
79·82
Dublin
95·96
Amsterdam
71·73
Predicted
Actual

Platform Features

Everything You Need to
Sell Out Every Market

From raw promoter wraps to executive narrative, TOUR CONTROL covers the full pacing pipeline — and keeps learning while the tour runs.

Universal Pacing Parser

Drop in daily wraps, weekly summaries, agency exports — any promoter format. We normalize it into a single pacing timeline per market.

Predictive Sell-Through Model

Blended velocity + benchmark multiplier model with a tunable show-week surge factor. Built for the way live tours actually sell.

Market Tiering & Risk Scoring

Every market is tiered Green / Yellow / Orange / Red automatically — so you know exactly where the tour needs help.

Per-Market Budget Allocation

Gap-to-sellout calculations at multiple cost-per-ticket rates produce defensible, line-item media recommendations.

Live Upload + Recalc

Drag in an updated wrap. The dashboard recalculates predictions, surfaces a diff, and persists for the whole team in one click.

Self-Calibrating Forecast

Once shows play, in-tour data feeds back into the model. Every snapshot tightens MAE and corrects bias automatically.

Prediction Accuracy Tracker

A dedicated accuracy page tracks MAE, tier accuracy, and prediction bias across every tour you’ve run.

AI Executive Overview

A plain-English readout of the tour state — risks, wins, what to do next — generated per flight plan and cached per snapshot.

Competing Show Scan

On any market, run a scan for nearby competing shows by date, genre, and venue radius — surface them with a threat-level rating.

Interactive Tour Map

Mapbox-powered routing with tier-colored pins, pulsing risk indicators, and click-to-inspect market details.

Branded Alert Emails

Tier downgrades, velocity stalls, and show-week urgency triggers send branded alerts via Resend the moment data changes.

Versioned Update History

Every upload is captured in an audit trail. Scroll back through every state the tour’s been in and reconstruct the why.

Team Workspace

Multi-org access with role-based RLS, member invites, and an org switcher. Run multiple labels or rosters from one login.

Excel + PDF Export

Every flight plan exports to a fully-formatted Excel workbook and a branded PDF — for the team, the artist, the promoter.

Password-Gated Dashboards

Each flight plan can be gated with a shared team password on top of magic-link auth. Full access control built in.

How It Works

From Raw Data to
Precision Budgets

01

Upload Any Wrap

Drop in ticket counts in any promoter format. Daily, weekly, end-of-week — we parse it all into one normalized pacing timeline.

02

Run the Model

Velocity extrapolation plus benchmark multipliers forecast every market’s final sell-through, with confidence scoring per row.

03

Get the Flight Plan

Tiered market overview, interactive map, AI executive read-out, and per-market media budgets at two CPT rates — ready to share.

04

Recalibrate as Shows Play

Drop in fresh wraps anytime. Predictions update live, alerts fire to the team, and the model self-tunes off your played shows.

Why TOUR CONTROL

Built for Tour Marketing Teams

Eliminate Guesswork

Data-driven predictions replace gut feelings. Know exactly which markets need support and how much to spend.

Save Hours Every Week

Automated parsing and live recalc means no more wrestling with mismatched promoter spreadsheets.

Maximize ROI

Allocate media dollars where they’ll actually move tickets. Stop blanketing markets that are already there.

Keep the Whole Team Aligned

One shared dashboard, real-time data, automated alerts, audit-ready history. Everyone sees the same picture.

Ready to Take Control
of Your Tour?

Get in touch to see TOUR CONTROL on a tour you actually care about. We’ll run a flight plan against your last leg and walk you through what the model would have done differently.